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Showing posts from June, 2021

The Price of Everything!

The prices of everything, everywhere, are going up.  A house in Phoenix is going up, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York City, they are going up for as much as everything all over the country.   Well, maybe not San Francisco.  There the prices of homes are all down from 10-12%.  The only part of the country and the State of California that is not going up?  Down from 10-12% where the rest our metro areas are up over 12%.  For pseudo-scientist, aka Economists, it is a dismal picture!  They, along with the people that brought you the last recession, aka Wall Street Banks, say it is only temporary.  "A transitory event that will disappear."  Mark Zandi, the chef Economist at Moody's...yes Moody's the people that gave AAA ratings to bonds supported by mortgages that went into default and put us on the verge of economic collapse WORLD-WIDE...... “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. Tha

Houses are getting more expensive. There's a fix to that?

More than 17% of the homes in the U.S. are selling above list price.  Would-be homeowners are furious as they lose bidding wars. Many are looking back in time and thinking "Bubble".  Of course it doesn't help for the "Media" to promote Bubbles! Prices rise and fall for all assets for a number of reasons.  So what makes something a "Bubble"?  The likely reason is so many people have put so much attention in the price of homes, and their home in particular, that it didn't take to much for prices to rise; especially, when there is a low inventory of homes for sale. A sharp rise in an asset's price is not necessarily a "Bubble".  The fear comes from the fact it is in our homes, which are usually the last thing we think of.  The last thing, at least, until the newspapers need something to publish.  Millennials represent 37% of the buyer's today.  They are the driving force of our buying marketplace.  They passed the "Baby Boom&quo

Inflation forecasts — like everything else — have been too conservative

GENERAL COMMENTARY If there's been one consistent theme during the recovery it has been analysts, strategists, economists, and forecasters of all stripes have been incorrect  in judging the resilience of the U.S. economy. The May Luxury Real Estate Report has almost all Luxury Market in Real Estate in the U.S. in a "Seller's Market". (see link at end of report).  The days on the market are short and the buyers outnumber the sellers. There are many reasons for these circumstances of events.  The Pandemic has allowed many to work from home, thus saving time and money.   The IPO market has been HOT!   New money creates pent up demand to overflow into buyer demand.  Supply in homes for sale is limited for a number of reasons:  a.Sellers do not want to venture out for fear they and their home will become infected.  b. Higher future property taxes. c. Capital gains taxes.  d. Questions of where to move.  e. Establishing new relationships with professionals. The California D