Posts

Showing posts from January, 2023

The Path has more Problems

Welcome 2023 with an out pouring of new listings.  As we ended 2022 the number of active listings began to lessen by the month, week and day; until we had the old stand firm group who just wanted out.  As I look at the Hot sheet I have established with MLS Listings I see all the new listings for the past 7 days; along with, sold, pending, contingent, list price decreased, canceled, expired and withdrawn.  The new listing's out distance the sold's so far.  Price cuts are starting to emerge. Market Watch New Listing (51) List Price Increased (1) List Price Decreased (6) Transaction Fell Through (1) Listing Back On Market (0) Contingent (5) Pending (14) Changed to Sold (13) Changed to Rented (0) Listing Expired (0) Listing Canceled (0) This action is unusual for the beginning of the year.  It is not abnormal for listing's to expire and cancel or withdraw at the end of a year.  They normally stay off until after Valentines Day and then flood the market.  How best to understand

The Problem are the Path: 2023

It seems to me the problems we experienced in 2022 are enough for us to endure, let alone, for another year.  Statistically stock market declines of the 20% range , as the one we experienced in 2022, are not experienced the following year.  Real Estate is a different asset in which to use that statistical analysis on.  We live in an area that is a Camelot.  Irrespective of what happens in the world around us, Silicon Valley remains resilient and firm.  The large advances in real estate we experienced from the beginning of the Pandemic, were not unexpected. What we have to work with is the large amount of speculation that needs to be wrung out of our real estate market.   The concept of Risk Free Rate of Return is the major measurement that will or should be used to determine purchases or investing.   2020 saw an enormous amount of money created in the money supply.  Some $9 trillion the Federal Reserve Governors created and disbursed into the US Economy that also found into the World E