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Showing posts from April, 2024

Where Forth Art Thou Goeth Interest Rates

The Problems Are The Path: Interest Rates and Money Supply

The commentary and forecasting of interest rates have taken a Pivot from confidence that rates would be cut in 2024 to a point that there will not be a cut or the cuts forecasted will be late or slow in occurring. All attention has been on interest rate commentary and very little if any attention on total FED actions in slowing down the economy. Of the FED's tools the tightening beyond interest rates can occur in contracting Money Supply. Money Supply takes many forms if one looks at the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet.  The most visible part the the Balance Sheet are the Assets.   To save the US economy and the world economy during the Pandemic the Federal Reserve began a policy of Qualitative Easing.  A policy of lowering interest rates and simultaneously buying Treasury Bonds, Mortgage Backed Securities and debt instruments to feed liquidity into the monetary system to help business and the population in general survive the economy that was shut down by the Pandemic.   On a