McKae Properties Real Estate Market Commentary

Daniel Chinni of NBC News wrote on July 19, 2020 on the way the Pandemic has changed the way Americans live, ..."but the long-term repercussions may be in our world even after the virus eventually is controlled".  The way we shop and spend money began to change before the virus hit.  The virus only accelerated that movement.  More people found acceptance to online shopping, home delivery, working from home, with serious movements out of the congested urban environments.  In June , Visa reported American volume of spending on credit cards declined 21% from May 2020.  Debit card spending increased by 12%!  Good news, as credit card debt will decline, and spending only on money in the pocket.   Bad news for the banks. Spending habits are declining and people are more careful with their money.according to McKinsey and Company .  40% of Americans were becoming more mindful of where they spend their money.  31% were changing to less expensive products to save money. IN OTHER

From the SF Chronicle Sunday Morning Edition: "Housing Market Gets Real".  Pandemic-related restrictions on showings, the number of Bay Area homes sold fell by more than half in May.  The median price in the Bay Area fell below $1 million.  The decline is Homes sold was -51.1% and the Median Price was $965,000.  In San Mateo County the decline is homes sold was -44.5%, the median price year over year was down 6.6%.  The figures do not include condominiums and newly constructed homes, Source: California Association of Realtors.  Thank you Kathleen Pender San Francisco Chronicle columnist. From the Bay Area News, Louis Hansen, "Rents take a breather as techies go mobile".  Prices for one-bedrooms in "techie hives" near Silicon Valley plummeted from last July.  San Francisco fell 11.8%, Mountain View dropped 15.1%, Menlo Park fell 13.5%, San Jose slid 8% and Cupertino fell 15.75% according to website Zumper.  Twitter told employees they could work from home

From my first class in college in investment banking that I thoroughly enjoyed, Statistic and Probability to my Wharton training in Investment Management Analysis, I have found that data shows the condition and direction of a market. We went through a shut down from March to May.  The shut down did have a negative effect on sales and house prices.  That result is difficult to use in statistical analysis because that was a controlled market place.  Once we had the release the effects on the housing market have shown the direction in the market with built up buyers coming into the market in a BIG FASHION! JUNE 2020 Atherton had a 37% decline in sales price and a 22% decline in sales volume.  Woodside had a 8% increase in sales price and a 63% decline in volume.  Portola Valley had a had A 13% INCREASE IN HOME PRICES AND A 436% INCREASE IN SALES VOLUME! Menlo Park followed with a 86% increase in sales price and a 131% increase in sales volume. Palo Alto had a 13% decline in sales p

I had a number of declines from a seniors group who I included in the Blog mailing list.  Too many came back with a "no interest, I'm going out in a box".  Yes, that is true.  Selling a home that is highly appreciated with a low property tax is quite foolish.  Even if you need the money.  A reverse mortgage will help for tight cash strapped home owners. The greatest fault I can lay on the male spouse is they leave their partner holding a bag of assets without any knowledge or training in how to proceed and know the market for their most valuable asset, their home.  The belief, "my children will take care of (her) him when I am gone",  is a false assumption. It is my hope and prayer for those who do have highly appreciated real estate they have a trust.  Then when a partner and spouse pass away, the property has a step up in basis from cost to market value.  It is essential for the surviving spouse to know the market beyond that of hear say and local papers a

What a week it is has been.  Coming up more often is the progression that Shelter @ Home will extend itself.  When a relaxation appears imminent, then more cases occur.  Go out shopping and everyone is wearing a mask and gloves.  Fill up for gas.  It is not uncommon to see the disposal of gloves after the tank is filled. Local media is on both sides of the street when it comes to whether there is a relaxation of rules or will there be a return to shelter in place. For the real estate buyer or seller one needs to get a grip on the situation and look at it realistically with a focus on their long term objectives.  Yes there will be opportunities.  Having cash in liquid form and a commitment letter from a bank is a necessity.  Having a plan is necessary Do not become too optimistic or too pessimistic that you either put yourself in a regrettable situation or missed a golden opportunity.  I think of a sermon from our local priest about a soul is given a tour of heaven.   St. Peter

After  three months of shut down, businesses closed, jobs lost and lives changed there has been a constant rhetoric of a real estate market and the economy bounding back.  Low interest rates have been a dominant source of reason to buy; along with, it will be better. Newspapers and other media have vacillated between good times ahead and danger in the wings.   Here is how the dominant Silicon Valley real estate markets have performed. In general all but two have seen sales below list.   In most instances 5-6% below list.  Homes for sale have out distanced sales.  Sales and listings have been below normal.  With the next week being a time of relaxation of rules and a return to work it will be of interest to see how home buyers and sellers will react. (CLICK THE HI LIGHTED CITIES FOR GRAPHS) In the Five County area homes for sale have risen from 11,436 in April to 16,028 in May.  Sales have declined from 9,424 in April to 8,177 in May. In Atherton  days on the marke

The S&P 5000 and the NASDAQ have all bounced back into what has been referred to as a "V" shaped recovery.  The axiom is the stock market moves in anticipation of the economy.  Coming out of Shelter in Place is so unique that it is impossible to forecast a V Shaped Recovery for Silicon Valley. We are now into our 3rd month of the Shelter in Place.  San Mateo County Board of Supervisors have extended the rental freeze on evictions and the terms to it until June 30th.  The death of an Afto-American man has created riots in various parts of America and our County.  The results have been to further toss back the retail and restaurant industry  from the virus lock down. Rents are collapsing  in Silicon Alley.  How much they will decline is a guess.  The publication linked in the previous sentence also has some 66% of those questioned willing to move from the area to lesser costly place if their jobs will allow.  Facebook has already gone that way along with Twitter, and Li