The Problems are the Path: FED Cuts Rates and Property Improvements

If one can get their faces off the Election and look at how interest rates will affect Real Estate, there maybe a chance Buyers can manage their decision to buy a home or invest in real estate.

The frustrating event of a rate cut of 50 basis points, or one half of one percent has created, most buyers and investors with, a HUH?  Moment.  The mortgage rates dropped to 6.09% on the day of the interest rate cut by the FED.  On the investor side, interest rates for commercial properties dropped, but the down payments remained at 35%.  No big benefit there.  The Yield Curve corrected further with the 2-year Treasury Bonds dropping below the 10-Year Treasury Bonds.  A major improvement with the first time in years that the interest rate market was not forecasting a recession.  That is really good news!

What happened after that was something I expected, the most market commentaries did not.  The Ten Year US Treasury Bond yield increased!.  This is normal for a growing economy, in our case a Goldilocks Economy.  Long term rates should increase as demand for loans are reflected in higher yields. We still have a number of economic reports that will substantiate the FED's aim at lowering interest rates.  Next week is the CPI figures.  Along with that will be a number of economic reports that the FED will view as to determine if we are truly in a "soft landing".  All hope is that the FED is successful.  Still, Housing is the Bad Boy in the CPI figures.  The jump in Mortgage Rates after the Employment Numbers indicate that Inflation may not simply die away.  If that is the case, will the FED continue to cut rates or hold off? Big Question Mark! 

Buying Real Estate on a long term basis is still the best way of investing for the future.. The Home buyer may find that the property that is affordable is the property that needs the most work.  Investors will have the same decision.  If a property is providing a Cap Rate that provides a good long term return.  How much work is needed to make improvements that will allow for future rental increases.

The decision of improvements needs to be looked at with an accountants mind, not an emotional mind.  Prudent decisions must be measured over time.  Here are some suggestion for both Investors and Residential buyers to consider.  Consider your budget in your purchase should also include your budget for improvements.  The worst thing you want to do is put all your money into the purchase with nothing left for improvements.  You will not be happy!


Comments

Silicon Valley Real Estate Newsletter

Covid Economy Falters Bay Area Luxury Home Sales Boom

the Problems are the Path: Notice of Default Opportunity in Multifamily Unit

The Problems are the Path: FED calls interests rates Wednesday January 31